The greatest spotlight of the Lok Sabha elections to be held within the yr 2024 would be the coming collectively of the opposition events towards the BJP. The basis of this unity was laid on the initiative of the Chief Minister of Bihar, Nitish Kumar, however regularly many huge events together with Congress, AAP obtained concerned and the household saved on rising.
Now immediately and tomorrow i.e. on July 17-18 there will likely be a second assembly of this opposition unity. Everybody’s eyes are fastened on these two-day assembly, as a result of in these two days the method to battle towards BJP will likely be determined.
Though the political equations have nearly modified between the primary assembly and the second assembly. On the one hand, Sharad Pawar’s social gathering NCP, which is seen as a giant chief within the opposition unity, has damaged up and at present Pawar is attempting to avoid wasting his social gathering. So alternatively, to point out the energy of NDA towards the opposition, BJP has joined 6 new events in every week. With these events becoming a member of the NDA, the BJP has additionally modified the caste equation of the states.
The greatest distinction within the opposition unity within the Patna assembly is that this time whereas uncle Sharad Pawar will likely be part of the Bengaluru assembly of the opposition, his nephew Ajit Pawar will attend the NDA’s Delhi assembly. Equally, Apna Dal’s president Anupriya Patel will attend the assembly to be held on July 18, whereas Krishna Patel, the president of one other faction of the identical social gathering and Anupriya’s mom, will attend the assembly in Bengaluru. Aside from this, Nationalist Congress Working President Praful Patel, who attended the Patna assembly, will now attend the NDA assembly.
In such a scenario, the query arises that earlier than the second assembly of opposition unity, during which states the NDA has modified the caste equation and the way a lot harm can it trigger to the opposition?
First let’s know that are the 6 events becoming a member of NDA
Many events that attended the Patna assembly have joined arms with the NDA earlier than the second assembly. After which BJP has obtained new allies in these three states of Maharashtra, Bihar and Uttar Pradesh. There have been already 24 events within the NDA. Now after the addition of 6 new events, the variety of events on this social gathering has elevated to 30. The names of those new 6 events are Ajit faction’s NCP, LJP Ram Vilas, JDU’s ally Hindustan Awam Morcha, RLSP (Upendra Kushwaha), VIP (Mukesh Sahni) and Subhaspa (Omprakash Rajbhar).
Before these events these 24 events have been included in NDA
Shiv Sena Shinde faction, AIADMK, NPP, NDPP, JJP, SKM, BPP, IMKMK, ITFT, AJSU, MNF, Tamil Maanila Congress, PMK, Apna Dal S, MGPS, AGP, LJP, Nishad Social gathering, UPPL, All India NR Congress Puducherry , Akali Dal Dhidsa, Janasena of RPI and Pawan Kalyan.
BJP modified the caste equation of those states by forming alliance?
32 Lok Sabha seats of Uttar Pradesh will likely be affected: Om Prakash Rajbhar, who is taken into account a giant face amongst OBC leaders, joined the NDA final Saturday. Simply earlier than the 2024 Lok Sabha elections, Rajbhar’s becoming a member of the NDA will serve to additional strengthen the BJP’s election marketing campaign.
In actual fact, earlier than this election, it is rather essential for the BJP to make inroads among the many backward castes within the Hindi heartland, as a result of the opposition has constantly surrounded the BJP by elevating many points together with the OBC census. Whereas the central authorities continues to be silent on the demand of census of different backward lessons.
In such a scenario, Om Prakash Rajbhar claims his personal affect on about 32 Lok Sabha seats in Purvanchal of UP and if Subhaspa enters the fray with BJP, then NDA will be capable of keep its political base robust in Purvanchal. Allow us to inform that within the yr 2017 Uttar Pradesh meeting elections, the Subhaspa Bharatiya Janata Social gathering entered the fray collectively. At the moment Rajbhar’s social gathering fielded its candidates on 6 seats and received 4 seats.
Speaking concerning the meeting elections held within the yr 2022, the Subhaspa entered the fray in alliance with the Samajwadi Social gathering and fielded its candidates on a complete of 18 seats. Nevertheless, this time they may get solely 6 seats.
4 leaders in Bihar with NDA, caste equation will change
LJP (Chirag Paswan): Former Union Minister Ram Vilas Paswan has been referred to as within the NDA assembly to be held on July. Chirag Paswan becoming a member of NDA is nearly sure. This social gathering has a robust mass base on Dalit seats in Bihar. Within the 2014 and 2019 Lok Sabha elections, LJP received 6 seats in Bihar by itself and in addition helped BJP in 6-7 seats.
LJP has a robust mass base in Khagaria, Madhepura, Vaishali, Madhubani, Begusarai, Jamui, Samastipur and Bettiah. With the assistance of regional leaders, this social gathering has additionally created its vote financial institution in Jehanabad, Buxar and Siwan. LJP’s core voter is Paswan, whose inhabitants is round 4 to five % in Bihar.
Upendra Kushwaha: Former Union Minister Upendra Kushwaha has fashioned Rashtriya Lok Janata Dal, separating himself from JDU just a few days in the past. Upendra Kushwaha is named the largest chief of the Kushwaha caste in Bihar. His maintain is powerful in Banka, Madhubani, Ara, Rohtas and Samastipur. Within the 2014 Lok Sabha elections, Kushwaha contested in alliance with the BJP and obtained 3 % votes.
Jitan Ram Manjhi: Former Bihar Chief Minister and HAM (Se) chief Jitan Ram Manjhi has additionally been referred to as within the assembly to be held on July 18. Jitan Ram Manjhi fashioned Hum (Se) within the yr 2015. Manjhi’s political dominance is in Jamui, Aurangabad and Sasaram. Within the 2015 elections, Manjhi obtained 2 % of the social gathering’s votes. Aside from this, Manjhi is the largest chief of the Musahar neighborhood in Bihar. In response to Jitan Ram Manjhi, the inhabitants of Musahar castes in Bihar is about 55 lakhs. Nevertheless, within the official figures it’s lower than 30 lakhs.
Mukesh Sahni: NDA additionally desires to carry Mukesh Sahni with it. Sahni has entered the fray within the yr 2020 in alliance with the Bharatiya Janata Social gathering. He is among the distinguished leaders of the Nishad neighborhood of Bihar. In response to Mukesh Sahni, the inhabitants of all of the sub-castes of the Nishad neighborhood in Bihar is round 14 %. Aside from this, Mukesh Sahni’s vote financial institution is in Madhubani, Khagaria, Muzaffarpur, Darbhanga and Samastipur.
BJP is taking precautions in these three states
The Bharatiya Janata Social gathering has thus far managed to carry regional events together with it by making a dent within the opposition camp in Maharashtra, Uttar Pradesh and Bihar, however the identical social gathering is faltering in Andhra Pradesh and Punjab.
Andhra Pradesh: Chandrababu Naidu of Andhra Pradesh left the NDA within the yr 2018. Though Chandrababu Naidu’s TDP misplaced the meeting elections held within the yr 2019 after leaving the NDA, now this social gathering desires to return to the NDA. Chandrababu Naidu had additionally met Amit Shah and JP Nadda within the first week of June this yr however doesn’t need the VSRCP to enter the opposition camp on account of its alliance with the BJP.
Punjab: Throughout the farmer’s motion in Punjab within the yr 2020, Sukhbir Singh Badal’s Akali Dal separated itself from the NDA. However the Akali Dal was defeated within the meeting elections held within the yr 2022 and now this social gathering desires to affix arms with the BJP within the upcoming Lok Sabha elections. If sources are to be believed, this time as a substitute of Akali Dal, BJP desires to incorporate Akali Dal Dhidsa with them. Social gathering strategists consider that the Akali Dal’s outdated affect among the many Sikhs has ended.
Now discuss these huge events which aren’t with anybody
Before the Lok Sabha elections, some events have gotten part of the opposition unity, whereas some events try to attach with the NDA. However there are some huge events that are neither a part of the NDA nor the opposition unity. These huge events embody BJD of Odisha, YSR Congress of Andhra Pradesh, BSP, Akali Dal, Telugu Desam Social gathering and BRS. With whom these events will help, it has not been disclosed.
On this too, aside from BRS, the 6 events (BJD, YSR, JD(S), BSP, Akali Dal, TDP) supported the Bharatiya Janata Social gathering on the difficulty of the opening of the Parliament. Events at present have greater than 50 MPs within the Lok Sabha. It’s anticipated that these events can open their playing cards after the election outcomes.

Rajneesh Singh is a journalist at Asian News, specializing in entertainment, culture, international affairs, and financial technology. With a keen eye for the latest trends and developments, he delivers fresh, insightful perspectives to his audience. Rajneesh’s passion for storytelling and thorough reporting has established him as a trusted voice in the industry.