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Asaduddin Owaisi and his politics cannot suddenly flourish in Uttar Pradesh by jumping from Charminar.

Asaduddin Owaisi is constantly vocal in regards to the dying of Mukhtar Ansari. He’s making his dying a difficulty and in the identify of that, ‘Muslim Politics’ He desires to provide a brand new place and new management to the complete nation. Clearly this management might be his. He and his social gathering are additionally very lively in Bihar and had gained 5 seats from Seemanchal there in the final elections. He desires to do one thing related in Uttar Pradesh and thus desires to emerge as a separate social gathering and chief of Muslims in the complete nation.

Owaisi is late

Within the present circumstances, i.e. the ambiance concerning elections, maybe Owaisi has missed the bus. Now solely 17 days are left for the primary spherical of voting. The sort of atmosphere that’s on the bottom, the angle of the general public concerning the elections, the sort of equations which were shaped, the sort of thoughts that the voters have made up, particularly in Purvanchal, any new equation of Owaisi might be one thing particular. They don't appear to offer. The circumstances of Purvanchal are completely different from Seemanchal of Bihar. I had as soon as requested this actual query to Afzal Ansari throughout the 2017 meeting elections. I had requested the identical query at the moment that Muslims continued to comply with secular events, votes remained divided and they didn’t have any social gathering of their very own. He was clearly requested whether or not Muslims ought to have their very own social gathering or not?

This factor is related as a result of Asaduddin had gone to the identical Afzal Ansari's home and met Mukhtar's household there and then wrote the poem on X (earlier Twitter). In response to my query, Afzal Ansari had stated that no group in this nation has extra events than Muslims. Nobody is extra secular than a Muslim and that’s the reason he doesn’t give significance to any such social gathering or chief. He had clearly stated that Owaisi is a good fundamentalist and in reality he’s a fundamentalist to indicate off, however inside he’s a contractor and he works to profit the BJP, therefore he has no particular time. That is the on-record assertion given by Afzal Ansari in 2017.

The temper of Purvanchal is completely different

It doesn’t appear that even right now Afzal Ansari would have deviated from this level. It is because the temper of Purvanchal, particularly Muslim politics, is basically linked with Dalit and extraordinarily backward politics. It’s recognized that this time Afzal Ansari is the candidate from SP, however he has been profitable from BSP additionally. His elder brother Sibgatullah Ansari has additionally been an MLA from BSP. All three brothers have achieved BSP politics solely. So, the Muslim of Purvanchal isn’t any completely different from the backward and Dalit. He’s related and that’s the reason if Asaduddin Owaisi is searching for some floor right here, desires to polarize the Muslims, then he is not going to get success right here.

Owaisi's land just isn’t in Uttar Pradesh or northern space. If he’s making Mukhtar's dying a difficulty and is constantly mentioning it, then it would have some constructive influence on his supporters. On the identical time, if Behenji or Akhilesh or somebody from the Congress social gathering goes to Mukhtar's place to specific his condolences, or makes it a difficulty constantly, then it would have the alternative impact on the remaining 60 seats in Uttar Pradesh besides Purvanchal. The rationale for that is that in different locations, the work is being achieved on the premise of assumptions, folks have no idea what’s Mukhtar's household, what’s his reference to the general public, be it Akhilesh or Mayawati, if he desires to save lots of his politics in the complete Uttar Pradesh. So, even when we wish to, we cannot make Mukhtar a difficulty. Their votes are scattered throughout UP and there BJP can consolidate votes on the notion stage. There isn’t a hazard with Owaisi.

Polarization has already occurred

So far as any political profit to Owaisi or polarization of Muslims is anxious, nothing of that kind is going on. The world from Ghaghra to Ganga has already turned in opposition to BJP. Muslims aren’t alone in this, the extraordinarily backward and Dalits are additionally there together with them. The trail of BJP or its electoral targets must be seen from a special perspective. If BJP will get even 60 seats out of 70-72 seats, it is not going to be thought-about troublesome. Higher efficiency might be stated. Sure, this time he won’t be able to do it with the identical ease with which he did it final time.

Positively BJP will face issues on many seats. There’s issue in deciding candidates for a lot of seats in Purvanchal. After Mukhtar's dying, the ambiance there’s critical and BJP must face it. The anger and resentment of the folks which is seen on all of the media, which is seen in the statements of the folks, is about this household. Folks have been related to one household for 100 years and it must be seen from the identical perspective.

Existence of third entrance breathless

It doesn’t appear that the third entrance that’s being shaped in UP, in conjunction with Pallavi Patel (Cameravadi) and many others., will trigger a lot hurt to the BJP. If we go by the statistics, even earlier than two elections the state of affairs was such that greater than 1 / 4 of Kurmi (Patel) had gone with BJP. Equally, 80 % Mauryas had been with BJP. Badri Narayan has achieved an excellent job on this. Analyzing the elections from 2014 to 2022, he has stated that the pattern of non-Yadav backward and non-Jatav Dalits has been in favor of BJP, they’ve shifted there."text-align: justify;">Another factor is that when voters (i.e. constituency) shift, the alliance of leaders cannot do any miracle. The largest instance of this was seen final time when SP and BSP got here collectively. They forgot all of the variations and Mayawati and Akhilesh got here collectively, however there was no end result. The alliance made on the stage of leaders had fallen flat on all fours and in the end that alliance additionally broke. All these experiments like Third Entrance are being achieved on the final second, they could be being achieved protecting in thoughts the post-election negotiations, however evidently they haven’t any significance proper now.

[नोट- उपरोक्त दिए गए विचार लेखक के व्यक्तिगत विचार हैं. यह ज़रूरी नहीं है कि एबीपी न्यूज़ ग्रुप इससे सहमत हो. इस लेख से जुड़े सभी दावे या आपत्ति के लिए सिर्फ़ लेखक ही ज़िम्मेदार हैं.] 


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